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Current Signal
Aston Villa vs Manchester City
🏆 Premier League
📅 Oct 24 · 18:30 GMT+7
⏳ 2 days before kickoff
Last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM
Analyzed Outcome
Aston Villa
Initial Signal • Oct 11, 12:03 AM
Model
41.9%
Market
23.8%
Edge
+75.9%
Current • Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM
Model
43.2%
Market
23.3%
(4.30)
Edge
+85.7%
Market Movement
Market Probability
23.8% → 23.3%
-0.6 percentage points
Status
Market moved away from model
Current model probability is higher than market probability (Positive EV).
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